Business Value Report

Austin HVAC

Residential HVAC · Austin, Texas

Prepared by Michael Mallette, SharePop Advisory · August 4, 2026

What it's worth

Here's what your business is worth today.

$0

Most-likely value · range $803K ~ $1.21M

Three independent methods, one shared scale.

Comparable local sales$577K ~ $881K
Owner-earnings, capitalized$1.68M ~ $2.05M
Asset floor$48K ~ $48K

SDE of $336,900 × 2.2 · IBBA Market Pulse + rule-of-thumb comps · 24 months of verified statements

Total uncovered lift potential

The value you haven't captured yet.

Not a score out of 100. A dollar figure you can defend line by line.

$0

Identified across 4 measured tasks · every one carries a dollar figure

4 of 22

Open tasks with a measured lift. No task left at $0 after a full scan.

$278K

Per-pillar dollars, summed. Shares reconcile exactly ~ nothing rounded up.

Traceable

Every dollar maps to a below-target driver and the task that closes it.

Where it comes from ~ measured lift per driver.

Growth Potential · 1 tasks+$136K
Competitive Moat · 1 tasks+$49K
Recurring Revenue · 1 tasks+$49K
Single Points of Failure · 1 tasks+$43K
Total uncovered potential$278,122

The moves, stacked onto today's value.

Value today$1.00M
Grow into unmet local demand+$136K
Widen your competitive moat+$49K
Build recurring service revenue+$49K
Remove single points of failure+$43K
Value within reach$1.28M

How you compare

How you stack up against similar businesses.

The drivers buyers actually price. The marked line is the typical business like yours.

Financial Performance
You score 48 of 100Ahead of 48% of peers · peer median marked

Right around the peer median; tightening the books lifts the multiple.

Owner Dependence
You score 56 of 100Ahead of 65% of peers · peer median marked

Leans on the owner less than most peers ~ buyers pay up for that.

Recurring Revenue
You score 69 of 100Ahead of 70% of peers · peer median marked

Repeat service work is a genuine strength here.

Single Points of Failure
You score 39 of 100Ahead of 33% of peers · peer median marked

A few make-or-break dependencies; reducing them protects the price.

Transferability
You score 43 of 100Ahead of 48% of peers · peer median marked

Close to par ~ written playbooks make it hand-over ready.

Competitive Moat
You score 85 of 100Ahead of 83% of peers · peer median marked

A wide moat is carrying real value.

Growth Potential
You score 50 of 100Ahead of 45% of peers · peer median marked

Room to grow into unmet local demand.

Cash-flow Strength
You score 80 of 100Ahead of 79% of peers · peer median marked

Strong, steady cash flow well above the local norm.

Customer Satisfaction
You score 72 of 100Ahead of 70% of peers · peer median marked

Customers rate you well above the typical shop.

Ready to sell?

How ready you actually are to sell.

0out of 100

Early days for a sale ~ a focused year on the books and systems makes this genuinely sellable.

24 months of reconciled statements on file
Cash flow that comfortably clears buyer financing
Books kept to a documented monthly close
Bank deposits reconciled to reported sales
Asking price backed by high-confidence comps

What could knock it over

The shocks this business is most exposed to.

Resilience reads ROBUST overall (74 of 100). These are the exposures worth watching.

Manager exodus45% exposure

Losing a key manager would hit hardest ~ cross-train and document now.

Wage-floor pressure35% exposure

Rising minimum pay squeezes a labor-heavy trade.

15% commodity spike35% exposure

Equipment and refrigerant price jumps compress install margins.

Contract friction35% exposure

Weak service agreements make revenue easier for customers to walk away from.

Tech turnover30% exposure

Skilled-tech churn interrupts jobs and callbacks.

Your pricing

Where your prices sit against the local rate.

You price roughly 20% under the local going rate ~ there's room to raise without losing work.

Service call
You charge $150Local median $217 · peer median marked
System cleaning
You charge $195Local median $217 · peer median marked

Your next move

Your next 90 days, highest-impact first.

1

Conduct a line-by-line expense audit

Financial performance · about 3 weeks

+$159K
2

Optimize your Google Business Profile

Growth · about 1 weeks

+$87K
3

Analyze labor cost per revenue hour

Financial performance · about 2 weeks

+$74K
4

Run a weekly operating cadence

Owner independence · about 2 weeks

5

Document standard operating procedures

Systems · about 4 weeks

Verified Inputs

Built on verified data.

Data window

24 months

Source

Verified statements

Comparables

IBBA Market Pulse + rule-of-thumb comps

Earnings basis

SDE · $336,900

Value trend, last 4 snapshots

$717K ~ $1.00M

4 snapshots ago · $717Ktoday · $1.00M

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